Manila, UT
Manila wildfire risk explained
Manila sits at the 76th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — well above the national norm for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 817 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Manila's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 74th percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
57.5% of Manila's 817 buildings fall in USFS's Indirect exposure zone — ember cast rather than direct flame — against 42.5% Direct and 0% Minimal. Vent screens and roofing material matter more here than lot clearing alone.
How Manila compares
Manila ranks lower within Utah (32nd percentile statewide) than its 76th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Manila ranks 7,739 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 13,489 by building count (1 is largest). Within Utah alone, it ranks 222 of 326 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Utah on its state page.
Manila and the insurance market
Manila's 76th-percentile, high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Manila's 57.5% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 817 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Manila. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Manila, see the exposure-zones guide.