WildfireRiskFinder

Manhattan, KS

How exposed is Manhattan to wildfire?

Very High
84thpercentile nationally

USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Manhattan at the 84th national percentile for risk to structures, in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — a score built from 16,687 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)

Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Manhattan at the 79th national percentile — 4 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.

What "at risk" means for the buildings here

16,687Total buildings
9.7%Direct exposure
37.5%Indirect exposure
52.8%Minimal exposure

Most of Manhattan's buildings (52.8% of 16,687) fall outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones entirely — that doesn't zero out the score above, it means the risk is regional, not structure-by-structure. At 16,687 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.

Where Manhattan ranks

Manhattan scores 84th nationally and 83rd within Kansas — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Manhattan ranks 5,165 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 868 by building count (1 is largest). Within Kansas alone, it ranks 127 of 721 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Kansas on its state page.

Manhattan and the insurance market

At the 84th percentile nationally, Manhattan carries the very high rating that has pushed some carriers to limit new business in similarly-scored places elsewhere in the country. Worth comparing quotes rather than assuming last year's renewal terms still apply.

Hardening a home in Manhattan

Even with 52.8% of Manhattan outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones, basic hardening — gutter maintenance, ember-resistant vents — is inexpensive relative to the regional burn-probability risk noted above. Details in the home-hardening guide.

Where Manhattan's figures come from

Manhattan's 84th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Manhattan's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.