Manchester, CT
Manchester wildfire risk explained
Out of every US place USFS scores, Manchester lands at the 34th percentile for wildfire risk to structures — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — a figure built from its 12,038 buildings, not the land around them. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Manchester at the 31st percentile, close to its 34th-percentile risk score.
Where Manchester's buildings actually sit
Only 11.4% of Manchester's 12,038 buildings carry Direct exposure and 18.9% carry Indirect; the remaining 69.7% are Minimal, which shifts the risk driving this page's score toward the surrounding landscape rather than any one structure. At 12,038 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Where Manchester ranks
Compare Manchester's two percentiles: 57th within Connecticut, only 34th nationally — a gap of 23 points that marks it as unusually exposed for its own state. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Manchester ranks 20,948 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 1,296 by building count (1 is largest). Within Connecticut alone, it ranks 92 of 214 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Connecticut on its state page.
Manchester and the insurance market
Manchester's moderate rating (34th percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
Hardening a home in Manchester
With 69.7% of buildings rated Minimal exposure, Manchester gets less benefit from structure hardening than a Direct- or Indirect-dominant place would — the home-hardening guide explains why the zone matters.
More on how this number was built
Manchester's 34th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Manchester, see the exposure-zones guide.