Lincolnia, VA
How exposed is Lincolnia to wildfire?
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Lincolnia at the 14th national percentile for risk to structures, among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally — a score built from 3,935 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Lincolnia at the 15th percentile, close to its 14th-percentile risk score.
Where Lincolnia's buildings actually sit
Lincolnia rates 68.3% Minimal exposure against just 31.7% Direct and 0% Indirect — of 3,935 buildings counted, few sit close enough to burnable vegetation for USFS to flag them individually.
How Lincolnia compares
There's little gap between Lincolnia's 14th national percentile and its 5th percentile inside Virginia, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Lincolnia ranks 27,059 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 4,302 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 647 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
Lincolnia and the insurance market
Lincolnia's low wildfire rating (14th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Even with 68.3% of Lincolnia outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones, basic hardening — gutter maintenance, ember-resistant vents — is inexpensive relative to the regional burn-probability risk noted above. Details in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Lincolnia's 14th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Lincolnia, see the exposure-zones guide.