Lincoln, AR
Lincoln, AR's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Lincoln sits at the 90th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 1,420 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Lincoln at the 93rd national percentile — 2 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Lincoln's buildings actually sit
63% of Lincoln's 1,420 buildings sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone, roughly 894 structures close enough to burnable vegetation for flame contact, not just embers — 37% fall in the Indirect, ember-only zone and 0% are Minimal.
How Lincoln compares
Lincoln's risk sits at a similar level relative to Arkansas (99th percentile statewide) as it does nationally (90th) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Lincoln ranks 3,016 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 9,535 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arkansas alone, it ranks 9 of 614 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arkansas on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Lincoln
At the 90th percentile nationally, Lincoln carries the very high rating that has pushed some carriers to limit new business in similarly-scored places elsewhere in the country. Worth comparing quotes rather than assuming last year's renewal terms still apply.
What would actually reduce this score
With 63% of Lincoln in Direct exposure, defensible-space clearing and ember-resistant construction (vents, Class-A roofing) address the exposure this page's own numbers describe, not a generic checklist. See the home-hardening guide.
Where Lincoln's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Lincoln's 3,016-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Lincoln's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.