Lacey, AR
Lacey, AR's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Lacey at the 56th national percentile for risk to structures, modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — a score built from 116 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Lacey's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 57th percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS classifies 94% of Lacey's buildings as Direct exposure, higher than its 6% Indirect share and far above its 0% Minimal share — a profile where 109 structures sit close enough to vegetation that lot clearing matters most.
Lacey against the rest of the country
Lacey ranks lower within Arkansas (35th percentile statewide) than its 56th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Lacey ranks 13,823 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 28,345 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arkansas alone, it ranks 400 of 614 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arkansas on its state page.
Lacey and the insurance market
At the 56th national percentile, Lacey rates elevated for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
What would actually reduce this score
With 94% of Lacey in Direct exposure, defensible-space clearing and ember-resistant construction (vents, Class-A roofing) address the exposure this page's own numbers describe, not a generic checklist. See the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 116 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Lacey. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Lacey, see the exposure-zones guide.