Johnson City, NY
How exposed is Johnson City to wildfire?
USFS scores Johnson City at the 13th national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally), a figure built from 5,947 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Johnson City at the 12th percentile, close to its 13th-percentile risk score.
Johnson City's building exposure, zone by zone
53% of Johnson City's 5,947 buildings fall in USFS's Indirect exposure zone — ember cast rather than direct flame — against 7.5% Direct and 39.5% Minimal. Vent screens and roofing material matter more here than lot clearing alone. At 5,947 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Where Johnson City ranks
Johnson City's 31st-percentile standing inside New York outpaces its 13th national percentile — this is a hotter spot than most of its own state, even though the state as a whole runs cooler nationally. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Johnson City ranks 27,551 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 2,896 by building count (1 is largest). Within New York alone, it ranks 895 of 1,289 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New York on its state page.
Johnson City and the insurance market
At the 13th national percentile, Johnson City rates low for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
What would actually reduce this score
With ember exposure the dominant pattern in Johnson City (53% Indirect), vent screens and roofing material tend to matter more than lot clearing alone. The home-hardening guide covers both.
Where Johnson City's figures come from
Johnson City's 13th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Johnson City's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.