Jericho, NY
How exposed is Jericho to wildfire?
Jericho's 4,095 buildings earn a 31st-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Jericho at the 32nd percentile, close to its 31st-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
70.3% of Jericho's 4,095 buildings fall in USFS's Indirect exposure zone — ember cast rather than direct flame — against 4.5% Direct and 25.2% Minimal. Vent screens and roofing material matter more here than lot clearing alone.
Where Jericho ranks
Compare Jericho's two percentiles: 67th within New York, only 31st nationally — a gap of 36 points that marks it as unusually exposed for its own state. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Jericho ranks 21,712 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 4,143 by building count (1 is largest). Within New York alone, it ranks 431 of 1,289 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New York on its state page.
Jericho and the insurance market
Jericho's moderate wildfire rating (31st percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
What would actually reduce this score
Because 70.3% of Jericho's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
Where Jericho's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Jericho's 21,712-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Jericho's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.