Icehouse Canyon, AZ
Icehouse Canyon, AZ's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Out of every US place USFS scores, Icehouse Canyon lands at the 97th percentile for wildfire risk to structures — in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — a figure built from its 411 buildings, not the land around them. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Icehouse Canyon's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 97th percentile nationally.
Where Icehouse Canyon's buildings actually sit
411 buildings are counted in Icehouse Canyon, and 72% of them sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone — flame contact, not just ember cast, is the live possibility for most of them, against 0% rated Minimal.
How Icehouse Canyon compares
There's little gap between Icehouse Canyon's 97th national percentile and its 84th percentile inside Arizona, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Icehouse Canyon ranks 870 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 19,001 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 70 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
Icehouse Canyon and the insurance market
Icehouse Canyon's 97th-percentile, very high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Because Direct exposure dominates in Icehouse Canyon (72%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Every one of the two percentiles behind Icehouse Canyon's 870-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Icehouse Canyon, see the exposure-zones guide.