Hot Springs Village, AR
Hot Springs Village, AR's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Hot Springs Village sits at the 71st percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — well above the national norm for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 8,626 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Hot Springs Village at the 74th national percentile — 3 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
76.9% of Hot Springs Village's 8,626 buildings sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone, roughly 6,634 structures close enough to burnable vegetation for flame contact, not just embers — 18.2% fall in the Indirect, ember-only zone and 4.9% are Minimal. At 8,626 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Where Hot Springs Village ranks
Hot Springs Village's risk sits at a similar level relative to Arkansas (56th percentile statewide) as it does nationally (71st) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Hot Springs Village ranks 9,193 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 1,932 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arkansas alone, it ranks 269 of 614 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arkansas on its state page.
Hot Springs Village and the insurance market
At the 71st percentile nationally, Hot Springs Village carries the high rating that has pushed some carriers to limit new business in similarly-scored places elsewhere in the country. Worth comparing quotes rather than assuming last year's renewal terms still apply.
What would actually reduce this score
Because Direct exposure dominates in Hot Springs Village (76.9%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
Where Hot Springs Village's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Hot Springs Village's 9,193-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Hot Springs Village's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.