Guadalupe, AZ
Guadalupe, AZ's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Guadalupe at the 50th national percentile for risk to structures, modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — a score built from 1,453 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Guadalupe at the 47th national percentile — 3 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Guadalupe's building exposure, zone by zone
Indirect exposure is dominant in Guadalupe (78.5% of 1,453 buildings): far enough from burnable vegetation to avoid flame contact, close enough for wind-blown embers. Only 3.9% sit in the Direct zone.
Where Guadalupe ranks
Guadalupe ranks lower within Arizona (18th percentile statewide) than its 50th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Guadalupe ranks 15,621 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 9,379 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 361 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
At the 50th national percentile, Guadalupe rates elevated for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
What would actually reduce this score
Because 78.5% of Guadalupe's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 1,453 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Guadalupe. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Guadalupe, see the exposure-zones guide.