WildfireRiskFinder

Greencastle, PA

Greencastle, PA's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers

Moderate
21stpercentile nationally

Greencastle sits at the 21st percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 1,812 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)

Separately from the risk score above, Greencastle's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 22nd percentile nationally.

Where Greencastle's buildings actually sit

1,812Total buildings
9.4%Direct exposure
65.6%Indirect exposure
25.1%Minimal exposure

USFS puts 65.6% of Greencastle's 1,812 buildings in the Indirect exposure zone, versus 9.4% Direct and 25.1% Minimal — a place where the fire doesn't need to reach the structure directly for embers to.

How Greencastle compares

Greencastle scores 21st nationally and 22nd within Pennsylvania — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Greencastle ranks 25,068 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 8,029 by building count (1 is largest). Within Pennsylvania alone, it ranks 1,548 of 1,991 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Pennsylvania on its state page.

Greencastle and the insurance market

At the 21st national percentile, Greencastle rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.

Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it

With ember exposure the dominant pattern in Greencastle (65.6% Indirect), vent screens and roofing material tend to matter more than lot clearing alone. The home-hardening guide covers both.

More on how this number was built

The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 1,812 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Greencastle. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Greencastle, see the exposure-zones guide.