Great Notch, NJ
Great Notch wildfire risk explained
Out of every US place USFS scores, Great Notch lands at the 26th percentile for wildfire risk to structures — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — a figure built from its 1,026 buildings, not the land around them. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Great Notch at the 26th national percentile — 0 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Great Notch's buildings actually sit
Great Notch rates 72.2% Minimal exposure against just 27.8% Direct and 0% Indirect — of 1,026 buildings counted, few sit close enough to burnable vegetation for USFS to flag them individually.
How Great Notch compares
Great Notch's risk sits at a similar level relative to New Jersey (19th percentile statewide) as it does nationally (26th) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Great Notch ranks 23,200 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 11,752 by building count (1 is largest). Within New Jersey alone, it ranks 567 of 700 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New Jersey on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
At the 26th national percentile, Great Notch rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
With 72.2% of buildings rated Minimal exposure, Great Notch gets less benefit from structure hardening than a Direct- or Indirect-dominant place would — the home-hardening guide explains why the zone matters.
More on how this number was built
Great Notch's 26th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Great Notch, see the exposure-zones guide.