Grapevine, TX
How exposed is Grapevine to wildfire?
Grapevine's 17,338 buildings earn a 53rd-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — modestly above the national average for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Grapevine at the 55th national percentile — 1 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Most of Grapevine's buildings (88.2% of 17,338) fall outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones entirely — that doesn't zero out the score above, it means the risk is regional, not structure-by-structure. At 17,338 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
How Grapevine compares
Inside Texas, Grapevine sits at just the 8th percentile even though it scores 53rd nationally — the state's overall wildfire exposure is high enough to make this a relatively quiet corner of it. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Grapevine ranks 14,797 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 821 by building count (1 is largest). Within Texas alone, it ranks 1,645 of 1,795 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Texas on its state page.
Grapevine and the insurance market
Grapevine's elevated wildfire rating (53rd percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
Hardening a home in Grapevine
Grapevine's 88.2% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
Where Grapevine's figures come from
Grapevine's 53rd-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Grapevine's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.