Goshen, UT
Goshen wildfire risk explained
Goshen sits at the 93rd percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 531 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Goshen at the 94th percentile, close to its 93rd-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
54.6% of Goshen's 531 buildings fall in USFS's Indirect exposure zone — ember cast rather than direct flame — against 45.4% Direct and 0% Minimal. Vent screens and roofing material matter more here than lot clearing alone.
How Goshen compares
Inside Utah, Goshen sits at just the 69th percentile even though it scores 93rd nationally — the state's overall wildfire exposure is high enough to make this a relatively quiet corner of it. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Goshen ranks 2,189 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 16,856 by building count (1 is largest). Within Utah alone, it ranks 103 of 326 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Utah on its state page.
Goshen and the insurance market
Goshen's 93rd-percentile, very high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
Hardening a home in Goshen
Because 54.6% of Goshen's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 531 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Goshen. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Goshen, see the exposure-zones guide.