Goshen, NY
Goshen wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Goshen at the 51st national percentile for risk to structures, modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — a score built from 2,054 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Goshen at the 53rd national percentile — 2 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Goshen's buildings actually sit
2,054 buildings are counted in Goshen, and 68.1% of them are Indirect exposure — ember-driven risk rather than the 31.9% in Direct exposure or the 0% rated Minimal.
How Goshen compares
Compare Goshen's two percentiles: 96th within New York, only 51st nationally — a gap of 45 points that marks it as unusually exposed for its own state. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Goshen ranks 15,388 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 7,328 by building count (1 is largest). Within New York alone, it ranks 53 of 1,289 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New York on its state page.
Goshen and the insurance market
At the 51st national percentile, Goshen rates elevated for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Hardening a home in Goshen
Because 68.1% of Goshen's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
Where Goshen's figures come from
Goshen's 51st-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Goshen's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.