Goose Creek Village, VA
Goose Creek Village, VA's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Goose Creek Village's 106 buildings earn a 17th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Goose Creek Village's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 15th percentile nationally.
Goose Creek Village's building exposure, zone by zone
Indirect exposure is dominant in Goose Creek Village (90.6% of 106 buildings): far enough from burnable vegetation to avoid flame contact, close enough for wind-blown embers. Only 9.4% sit in the Direct zone.
Goose Creek Village against the rest of the country
Goose Creek Village scores 17th nationally and 7th within Virginia — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Goose Creek Village ranks 26,268 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 28,789 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 634 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
Goose Creek Village's low rating (17th percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Goose Creek Village's 90.6% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Every one of the two percentiles behind Goose Creek Village's 26,268-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Goose Creek Village, see the exposure-zones guide.