Goose Creek, KY
How exposed is Goose Creek to wildfire?
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Goose Creek at the 10th national percentile for risk to structures, among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally — a score built from 119 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Goose Creek at the 11th national percentile — 1 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Goose Creek's buildings actually sit
Goose Creek rates 68.1% Minimal exposure against just 31.9% Direct and 0% Indirect — of 119 buildings counted, few sit close enough to burnable vegetation for USFS to flag them individually.
Goose Creek against the rest of the country
There's little gap between Goose Creek's 10th national percentile and its 6th percentile inside Kentucky, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Goose Creek ranks 28,365 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 28,196 by building count (1 is largest). Within Kentucky alone, it ranks 515 of 552 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Kentucky on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Goose Creek
Goose Creek's low wildfire rating (10th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
Hardening a home in Goose Creek
Even with 68.1% of Goose Creek outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones, basic hardening — gutter maintenance, ember-resistant vents — is inexpensive relative to the regional burn-probability risk noted above. Details in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Goose Creek's 10th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Goose Creek, see the exposure-zones guide.