Goodyear, AZ
Goodyear, AZ's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Goodyear at the 80th national percentile for risk to structures, in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — a score built from 35,981 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Goodyear at the 80th percentile, close to its 80th-percentile risk score.
Where Goodyear's buildings actually sit
Goodyear rates 62% Minimal exposure against just 14% Direct and 24.1% Indirect — of 35,981 buildings counted, few sit close enough to burnable vegetation for USFS to flag them individually. At 35,981 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Goodyear against the rest of the country
Inside Arizona, Goodyear sits at just the 44th percentile even though it scores 80th nationally — the state's overall wildfire exposure is high enough to make this a relatively quiet corner of it. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Goodyear ranks 6,198 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 294 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 246 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
Goodyear's 80th-percentile, very high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
Hardening a home in Goodyear
Even with 62% of Goodyear outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones, basic hardening — gutter maintenance, ember-resistant vents — is inexpensive relative to the regional burn-probability risk noted above. Details in the home-hardening guide.
Where Goodyear's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Goodyear's 6,198-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Goodyear's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.