Fresno, TX
Fresno, TX's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Fresno sits at the 66th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — well above the national norm for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 8,470 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Fresno at the 70th percentile, close to its 66th-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Most of Fresno's buildings (58.7%) sit in the Indirect zone, where wind-blown embers rather than flame front are the mechanism USFS is scoring — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing are the interventions this pattern favors, more than defensible space alone. At 8,470 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Fresno against the rest of the country
Fresno ranks lower within Texas (24th percentile statewide) than its 66th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Fresno ranks 10,602 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 1,965 by building count (1 is largest). Within Texas alone, it ranks 1,370 of 1,795 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Texas on its state page.
Fresno and the insurance market
Fresno's high rating (66th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
What would actually reduce this score
Because 58.7% of Fresno's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 8,470 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Fresno. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Fresno, see the exposure-zones guide.