Fort Duchesne, UT
Fort Duchesne, UT's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Fort Duchesne at the 65th national percentile for risk to structures, well above the national norm for wildfire risk — a score built from 456 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Fort Duchesne's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 62nd percentile nationally.
Where Fort Duchesne's buildings actually sit
456 buildings are counted in Fort Duchesne, and 79.4% of them sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone — flame contact, not just ember cast, is the live possibility for most of them, against 0% rated Minimal.
How Fort Duchesne compares
Fort Duchesne ranks lower within Utah (22nd percentile statewide) than its 65th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Fort Duchesne ranks 11,017 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 18,165 by building count (1 is largest). Within Utah alone, it ranks 254 of 326 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Utah on its state page.
Fort Duchesne and the insurance market
Fort Duchesne's 65th-percentile, high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Because Direct exposure dominates in Fort Duchesne (79.4%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 456 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Fort Duchesne. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Fort Duchesne, see the exposure-zones guide.