Flowing Springs, AZ
How exposed is Flowing Springs to wildfire?
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Flowing Springs at the 99th national percentile for risk to structures, in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — a score built from 52 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Flowing Springs's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 97th percentile nationally.
Where Flowing Springs's buildings actually sit
52 buildings are counted in Flowing Springs, and 100% of them sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone — flame contact, not just ember cast, is the live possibility for most of them, against 0% rated Minimal.
Where Flowing Springs ranks
There's little gap between Flowing Springs's 99th national percentile and its 92nd percentile inside Arizona, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Flowing Springs ranks 461 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 30,865 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 35 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
Flowing Springs and the insurance market
Flowing Springs's very high rating (99th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Because Direct exposure dominates in Flowing Springs (100%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Every one of the two percentiles behind Flowing Springs's 461-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Flowing Springs, see the exposure-zones guide.