Fayetteville, PA
Fayetteville, PA's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Fayetteville sits at the 48th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 1,706 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Fayetteville at the 46th national percentile — 2 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Fayetteville rates 72% Minimal exposure against just 26.7% Direct and 1.3% Indirect — of 1,706 buildings counted, few sit close enough to burnable vegetation for USFS to flag them individually.
How Fayetteville compares
Compare Fayetteville's two percentiles: 79th within Pennsylvania, only 48th nationally — a gap of 30 points that marks it as unusually exposed for its own state. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Fayetteville ranks 16,304 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 8,401 by building count (1 is largest). Within Pennsylvania alone, it ranks 425 of 1,991 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Pennsylvania on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
At the 48th national percentile, Fayetteville rates elevated for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Hardening a home in Fayetteville
Even with 72% of Fayetteville outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones, basic hardening — gutter maintenance, ember-resistant vents — is inexpensive relative to the regional burn-probability risk noted above. Details in the home-hardening guide.
Where Fayetteville's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 1,706 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Fayetteville. The exposure-zones guide covers what Fayetteville's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.