Falconer, NY
Falconer, NY's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Falconer's 1,151 buildings earn a 35th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Falconer at the 35th percentile, close to its 35th-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
1,151 buildings are counted in Falconer, and 73.9% of them are Indirect exposure — ember-driven risk rather than the 15.7% in Direct exposure or the 10.3% rated Minimal.
Falconer against the rest of the country
Within New York, Falconer ranks higher (75th percentile) than it does nationally (35th) — one of the more fire-exposed places in a state that, overall, scores lower than that. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Falconer ranks 20,643 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 10,955 by building count (1 is largest). Within New York alone, it ranks 326 of 1,289 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New York on its state page.
Falconer and the insurance market
Falconer's moderate wildfire rating (35th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
What would actually reduce this score
With ember exposure the dominant pattern in Falconer (73.9% Indirect), vent screens and roofing material tend to matter more than lot clearing alone. The home-hardening guide covers both.
Where Falconer's figures come from
Falconer's 35th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Falconer's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.