WildfireRiskFinder

Falcon Mesa, TX

Falcon Mesa, TX's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers

High
79thpercentile nationally

USFS scores Falcon Mesa at the 79th national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (well above the national norm for wildfire risk), a figure built from 578 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)

Separately from the risk score above, Falcon Mesa's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 76th percentile nationally.

What "at risk" means for the buildings here

578Total buildings
42.9%Direct exposure
57.1%Indirect exposure
0%Minimal exposure

Most of Falcon Mesa's buildings (57.1%) sit in the Indirect zone, where wind-blown embers rather than flame front are the mechanism USFS is scoring — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing are the interventions this pattern favors, more than defensible space alone.

Falcon Mesa against the rest of the country

Falcon Mesa ranks lower within Texas (59th percentile statewide) than its 79th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Falcon Mesa ranks 6,665 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 16,139 by building count (1 is largest). Within Texas alone, it ranks 744 of 1,795 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Texas on its state page.

What this risk score means for insurance

Falcon Mesa's 79th-percentile, high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.

Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it

Falcon Mesa's 57.1% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.

Where Falcon Mesa's figures come from

Falcon Mesa's 79th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Falcon Mesa's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.