Falcon Lake Estates, TX
How exposed is Falcon Lake Estates to wildfire?
Falcon Lake Estates's 619 buildings earn a 83rd-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Falcon Lake Estates at the 81st percentile, close to its 83rd-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Most of Falcon Lake Estates's buildings (89.2%) sit in the Indirect zone, where wind-blown embers rather than flame front are the mechanism USFS is scoring — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing are the interventions this pattern favors, more than defensible space alone.
Where Falcon Lake Estates ranks
There's little gap between Falcon Lake Estates's 83rd national percentile and its 70th percentile inside Texas, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Falcon Lake Estates ranks 5,244 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 15,580 by building count (1 is largest). Within Texas alone, it ranks 535 of 1,795 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Texas on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Falcon Lake Estates
Falcon Lake Estates's very high rating (83rd percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
What would actually reduce this score
Falcon Lake Estates's 89.2% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Falcon Lake Estates's 83rd-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Falcon Lake Estates, see the exposure-zones guide.