Fairchance, PA
Fairchance, PA's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Fairchance sits at the 43rd percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 1,026 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Fairchance at the 42nd percentile, close to its 43rd-percentile risk score.
Where Fairchance's buildings actually sit
USFS puts 71.2% of Fairchance's 1,026 buildings in the Indirect exposure zone, versus 28.9% Direct and 0% Minimal — a place where the fire doesn't need to reach the structure directly for embers to.
Where Fairchance ranks
Fairchance's 68th-percentile standing inside Pennsylvania outpaces its 43rd national percentile — this is a hotter spot than most of its own state, even though the state as a whole runs cooler nationally. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Fairchance ranks 18,131 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 11,754 by building count (1 is largest). Within Pennsylvania alone, it ranks 635 of 1,991 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Pennsylvania on its state page.
Fairchance and the insurance market
Fairchance's elevated rating (43rd percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
What would actually reduce this score
Fairchance's 71.2% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Fairchance's 43rd-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Fairchance, see the exposure-zones guide.