Fair Lakes, VA
How exposed is Fair Lakes to wildfire?
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Fair Lakes at the 19th national percentile for risk to structures, among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally — a score built from 1,132 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Fair Lakes at the 20th percentile, close to its 19th-percentile risk score.
Fair Lakes's building exposure, zone by zone
USFS classifies 79.1% of Fair Lakes's buildings as Minimal exposure, the largest of the three zones here by a wide margin over 20.9% Direct and 0% Indirect — a landscape-level risk rather than a building-by-building one.
How Fair Lakes compares
Fair Lakes's risk sits at a similar level relative to Virginia (10th percentile statewide) as it does nationally (19th) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Fair Lakes ranks 25,541 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 11,070 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 614 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
Fair Lakes and the insurance market
At the 19th national percentile, Fair Lakes rates low for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Fair Lakes's 79.1% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 1,132 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Fair Lakes. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Fair Lakes, see the exposure-zones guide.