Ettrick, VA
Ettrick, VA's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Ettrick's 1,916 buildings earn a 37th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Ettrick at the 38th national percentile — 1 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Ettrick's buildings actually sit
51.4% of Ettrick's 1,916 buildings fall in USFS's Indirect exposure zone — ember cast rather than direct flame — against 48.3% Direct and 0.4% Minimal. Vent screens and roofing material matter more here than lot clearing alone.
How Ettrick compares
Ettrick scores 37th nationally and 27th within Virginia — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Ettrick ranks 19,900 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 7,720 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 496 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
Ettrick and the insurance market
Ettrick's moderate wildfire rating (37th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
What would actually reduce this score
Ettrick's 51.4% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
Where Ettrick's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 1,916 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Ettrick. The exposure-zones guide covers what Ettrick's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.