Elsinore, UT
Elsinore wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Elsinore at the 67th national percentile for risk to structures, well above the national norm for wildfire risk — a score built from 545 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Elsinore's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 63rd percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
80% of Elsinore's 545 buildings fall in USFS's Indirect exposure zone — ember cast rather than direct flame — against 18.4% Direct and 1.7% Minimal. Vent screens and roofing material matter more here than lot clearing alone.
Elsinore against the rest of the country
Elsinore ranks lower within Utah (27th percentile statewide) than its 67th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Elsinore ranks 10,355 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 16,646 by building count (1 is largest). Within Utah alone, it ranks 239 of 326 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Utah on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
Elsinore's high rating (67th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Because 80% of Elsinore's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Elsinore's 67th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Elsinore, see the exposure-zones guide.