El Valle de Arroyo Seco, NM
El Valle de Arroyo Seco, NM's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts El Valle de Arroyo Seco at the 71st national percentile for risk to structures, well above the national norm for wildfire risk — a score built from 935 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts El Valle de Arroyo Seco at the 68th percentile, close to its 71st-percentile risk score.
Where El Valle de Arroyo Seco's buildings actually sit
Of El Valle de Arroyo Seco's 935 counted buildings, 90.7% carry Direct exposure and only 0% carry Minimal — a lopsided split that puts defensible-space clearing ahead of vents or roofing as the intervention worth doing first.
Where El Valle de Arroyo Seco ranks
Inside New Mexico, El Valle de Arroyo Seco sits at just the 42nd percentile even though it scores 71st nationally — the state's overall wildfire exposure is high enough to make this a relatively quiet corner of it. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, El Valle de Arroyo Seco ranks 9,082 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 12,427 by building count (1 is largest). Within New Mexico alone, it ranks 289 of 495 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New Mexico on its state page.
El Valle de Arroyo Seco and the insurance market
El Valle de Arroyo Seco's 71st-percentile, high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
What would actually reduce this score
Because Direct exposure dominates in El Valle de Arroyo Seco (90.7%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Every one of the two percentiles behind El Valle de Arroyo Seco's 9,082-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond El Valle de Arroyo Seco, see the exposure-zones guide.