El Prado Estates, AZ
El Prado Estates wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts El Prado Estates at the 22nd national percentile for risk to structures, close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — a score built from 151 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, El Prado Estates's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 22nd percentile nationally.
El Prado Estates's building exposure, zone by zone
El Prado Estates rates 99.3% Minimal exposure against just 0.7% Direct and 0% Indirect — of 151 buildings counted, few sit close enough to burnable vegetation for USFS to flag them individually.
How El Prado Estates compares
El Prado Estates ranks lower within Arizona (3rd percentile statewide) than its 22nd national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, El Prado Estates ranks 24,634 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 26,831 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 428 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in El Prado Estates
El Prado Estates's moderate rating (22nd percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Even with 99.3% of El Prado Estates outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones, basic hardening — gutter maintenance, ember-resistant vents — is inexpensive relative to the regional burn-probability risk noted above. Details in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
El Prado Estates's 22nd-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond El Prado Estates, see the exposure-zones guide.