Eatons Neck, NY
How exposed is Eatons Neck to wildfire?
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Eatons Neck at the 32nd national percentile for risk to structures, close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — a score built from 675 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Eatons Neck at the 31st national percentile — 1 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS classifies 65.9% of Eatons Neck's buildings as Direct exposure, higher than its 0% Indirect share and far above its 34.1% Minimal share — a profile where 445 structures sit close enough to vegetation that lot clearing matters most.
Where Eatons Neck ranks
Eatons Neck's 68th-percentile standing inside New York outpaces its 32nd national percentile — this is a hotter spot than most of its own state, even though the state as a whole runs cooler nationally. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Eatons Neck ranks 21,557 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 14,928 by building count (1 is largest). Within New York alone, it ranks 413 of 1,289 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New York on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
At the 32nd national percentile, Eatons Neck rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
What would actually reduce this score
Eatons Neck's 65.9% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 675 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Eatons Neck. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Eatons Neck, see the exposure-zones guide.