East Setauket, NY
East Setauket wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts East Setauket at the 32nd national percentile for risk to structures, close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — a score built from 3,878 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks East Setauket at the 34th national percentile — 1 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where East Setauket's buildings actually sit
62.3% of East Setauket's 3,878 buildings sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone, roughly 2,416 structures close enough to burnable vegetation for flame contact, not just embers — 9.3% fall in the Indirect, ember-only zone and 28.4% are Minimal.
East Setauket against the rest of the country
Compare East Setauket's two percentiles: 70th within New York, only 32nd nationally — a gap of 37 points that marks it as unusually exposed for its own state. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, East Setauket ranks 21,335 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 4,357 by building count (1 is largest). Within New York alone, it ranks 389 of 1,289 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New York on its state page.
East Setauket and the insurance market
East Setauket's moderate wildfire rating (32nd percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
With 62.3% of East Setauket in Direct exposure, defensible-space clearing and ember-resistant construction (vents, Class-A roofing) address the exposure this page's own numbers describe, not a generic checklist. See the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
East Setauket's 32nd-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond East Setauket, see the exposure-zones guide.