Earlysville, VA
Earlysville wildfire risk explained
Earlysville sits at the 45th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 555 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Earlysville at the 46th national percentile — 0 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS classifies 100% of Earlysville's buildings as Direct exposure, higher than its 0% Indirect share and far above its 0% Minimal share — a profile where 555 structures sit close enough to vegetation that lot clearing matters most.
How Earlysville compares
There's little gap between Earlysville's 45th national percentile and its 44th percentile inside Virginia, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Earlysville ranks 17,253 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 16,511 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 381 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Earlysville
Earlysville's elevated rating (45th percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
Hardening a home in Earlysville
Because Direct exposure dominates in Earlysville (100%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
Where Earlysville's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 555 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Earlysville. The exposure-zones guide covers what Earlysville's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.