Dutch John, UT
How exposed is Dutch John to wildfire?
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Dutch John at the 93rd national percentile for risk to structures, in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — a score built from 199 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Dutch John's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 90th percentile nationally.
Dutch John's building exposure, zone by zone
Direct exposure dominates in Dutch John: 52.3% of its 199 buildings, versus 47.7% Indirect and 0% Minimal. Clearing space around a structure changes the outcome here more than any single building-material swap.
How Dutch John compares
Dutch John's 93rd national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 68th ranking inside Utah does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 25 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Dutch John ranks 2,221 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 24,906 by building count (1 is largest). Within Utah alone, it ranks 104 of 326 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Utah on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Dutch John
Dutch John's very high rating (93rd percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Because Direct exposure dominates in Dutch John (52.3%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 199 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Dutch John. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Dutch John, see the exposure-zones guide.