Dutch Flat, CA
Dutch Flat wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Dutch Flat at the 100th national percentile for risk to structures, in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — a score built from 166 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Dutch Flat at the 99th percentile, close to its 100th-percentile risk score.
Where Dutch Flat's buildings actually sit
Of Dutch Flat's 166 counted buildings, 73.5% carry Direct exposure and only 0% carry Minimal — a lopsided split that puts defensible-space clearing ahead of vents or roofing as the intervention worth doing first.
Where Dutch Flat ranks
There's little gap between Dutch Flat's 100th national percentile and its 95th percentile inside California, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Dutch Flat ranks 121 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 26,164 by building count (1 is largest). Within California alone, it ranks 78 of 1,570 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for California on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Dutch Flat
Because Dutch Flat is in California, a wildfire-hazard disclosure is legally required before a sale closes here — unusual nationally, since only these two states mandate it. The state's FAIR Plan alone carried 668,609 policies by the end of 2025. Full detail in the disclosure-law guide.
What would actually reduce this score
Because Direct exposure dominates in Dutch Flat (73.5%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
Where Dutch Flat's figures come from
Dutch Flat's 100th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Dutch Flat's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.