Duncan, MS
Duncan, MS's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Duncan sits at the 29th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 222 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Duncan at the 26th percentile, close to its 29th-percentile risk score.
Where Duncan's buildings actually sit
73.4% of Duncan's 222 buildings fall in USFS's Indirect exposure zone — ember cast rather than direct flame — against 26.6% Direct and 0% Minimal. Vent screens and roofing material matter more here than lot clearing alone.
Where Duncan ranks
Duncan ranks lower within Mississippi (9th percentile statewide) than its 29th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Duncan ranks 22,316 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 24,051 by building count (1 is largest). Within Mississippi alone, it ranks 384 of 420 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Mississippi on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
At the 29th national percentile, Duncan rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Hardening a home in Duncan
With ember exposure the dominant pattern in Duncan (73.4% Indirect), vent screens and roofing material tend to matter more than lot clearing alone. The home-hardening guide covers both.
Where Duncan's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 222 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Duncan. The exposure-zones guide covers what Duncan's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.