Dumfries, VA
Dumfries wildfire risk explained
USFS scores Dumfries at the 31st national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range), a figure built from 1,205 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Dumfries at the 30th percentile, close to its 31st-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS puts 79.8% of Dumfries's 1,205 buildings in the Indirect exposure zone, versus 20.2% Direct and 0.1% Minimal — a place where the fire doesn't need to reach the structure directly for embers to.
Where Dumfries ranks
Dumfries's risk sits at a similar level relative to Virginia (21st percentile statewide) as it does nationally (31st) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Dumfries ranks 21,730 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 10,622 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 538 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
Dumfries and the insurance market
At the 31st national percentile, Dumfries rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
With ember exposure the dominant pattern in Dumfries (79.8% Indirect), vent screens and roofing material tend to matter more than lot clearing alone. The home-hardening guide covers both.
More on how this number was built
Dumfries's 31st-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Dumfries, see the exposure-zones guide.