Dulles Town Center, VA
Dulles Town Center wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Dulles Town Center at the 11th national percentile for risk to structures, among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally — a score built from 664 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Dulles Town Center at the 11th national percentile — 0 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Dulles Town Center's building exposure, zone by zone
Dulles Town Center rates 92.6% Minimal exposure against just 3.5% Direct and 3.9% Indirect — of 664 buildings counted, few sit close enough to burnable vegetation for USFS to flag them individually.
Where Dulles Town Center ranks
Dulles Town Center scores 11th nationally and 2nd within Virginia — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Dulles Town Center ranks 28,225 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 15,024 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 670 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
Dulles Town Center and the insurance market
Dulles Town Center's low wildfire rating (11th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
What would actually reduce this score
Dulles Town Center's 92.6% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
Where Dulles Town Center's figures come from
Dulles Town Center's 11th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Dulles Town Center's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.