Dugway, UT
Dugway wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Dugway at the 99th national percentile for risk to structures, in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — a score built from 409 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Dugway's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 98th percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
84.4% of Dugway's 409 buildings fall in USFS's Indirect exposure zone — ember cast rather than direct flame — against 15.7% Direct and 0% Minimal. Vent screens and roofing material matter more here than lot clearing alone.
How Dugway compares
Dugway scores 99th nationally and 96th within Utah — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Dugway ranks 426 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 19,059 by building count (1 is largest). Within Utah alone, it ranks 13 of 326 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Utah on its state page.
Dugway and the insurance market
Dugway's 99th-percentile, very high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Dugway's 84.4% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Dugway's 99th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Dugway, see the exposure-zones guide.