Dublin, VA
Dublin wildfire risk explained
USFS scores Dublin at the 52nd national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (modestly above the national average for wildfire risk), a figure built from 893 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Dublin at the 55th national percentile — 3 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Dublin's building exposure, zone by zone
88.4% of Dublin's 893 buildings fall in USFS's Indirect exposure zone — ember cast rather than direct flame — against 11.7% Direct and 0% Minimal. Vent screens and roofing material matter more here than lot clearing alone.
Where Dublin ranks
Dublin scores 52nd nationally and 56th within Virginia — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Dublin ranks 15,208 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 12,789 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 300 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
Dublin and the insurance market
Dublin's elevated wildfire rating (52nd percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
What would actually reduce this score
Dublin's 88.4% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
Where Dublin's figures come from
Dublin's 52nd-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Dublin's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.