Duarte, CA
Duarte, CA's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Duarte sits at the 87th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 6,606 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Duarte at the 86th national percentile — 1 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Duarte's building exposure, zone by zone
73.6% of Duarte's 6,606 buildings fall in USFS's Indirect exposure zone — ember cast rather than direct flame — against 2.7% Direct and 23.7% Minimal. Vent screens and roofing material matter more here than lot clearing alone. At 6,606 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
How Duarte compares
Duarte ranks lower within California (54th percentile statewide) than its 87th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Duarte ranks 4,243 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 2,624 by building count (1 is largest). Within California alone, it ranks 729 of 1,570 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for California on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Duarte
Duarte's 87th-percentile score lands in California, the only two states requiring a wildfire disclosure at sale. California's surplus-lines homeowners market passed 300,000 policies for the first time in 2025, driven by carriers pulling back from wildfire-exposed areas statewide. The disclosure-law guide covers what it requires.
What would actually reduce this score
Because 73.6% of Duarte's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Every one of the two percentiles behind Duarte's 4,243-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Duarte, see the exposure-zones guide.