Draper, UT
Draper, UT's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Draper's 14,598 buildings earn a 96th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Draper at the 93rd national percentile — 3 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS classifies 45.8% of Draper's buildings as Minimal exposure, the largest of the three zones here by a wide margin over 11% Direct and 43.2% Indirect — a landscape-level risk rather than a building-by-building one. At 14,598 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Draper against the rest of the country
Draper's risk sits at a similar level relative to Utah (87th percentile statewide) as it does nationally (96th) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Draper ranks 1,145 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 1,023 by building count (1 is largest). Within Utah alone, it ranks 45 of 326 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Utah on its state page.
Draper and the insurance market
Draper's very high rating (96th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
With 45.8% of buildings rated Minimal exposure, Draper gets less benefit from structure hardening than a Direct- or Indirect-dominant place would — the home-hardening guide explains why the zone matters.
More on how this number was built
Draper's 96th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Draper, see the exposure-zones guide.