Dover, ID
Dover, ID's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Dover at the 55th national percentile for risk to structures, modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — a score built from 526 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Dover at the 52nd national percentile — 3 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
62.6% of Dover's 526 buildings sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone, roughly 329 structures close enough to burnable vegetation for flame contact, not just embers — 35.2% fall in the Indirect, ember-only zone and 2.3% are Minimal.
How Dover compares
Dover's 55th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 21st ranking inside Idaho does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 34 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Dover ranks 14,177 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 16,921 by building count (1 is largest). Within Idaho alone, it ranks 184 of 232 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Idaho on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
At the 55th national percentile, Dover rates elevated for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
What would actually reduce this score
With 62.6% of Dover in Direct exposure, defensible-space clearing and ember-resistant construction (vents, Class-A roofing) address the exposure this page's own numbers describe, not a generic checklist. See the home-hardening guide.
Where Dover's figures come from
Dover's 55th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Dover's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.