Donovan Estates, AZ
How exposed is Donovan Estates to wildfire?
Out of every US place USFS scores, Donovan Estates lands at the 7th percentile for wildfire risk to structures — among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally — a figure built from its 396 buildings, not the land around them. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Donovan Estates at the 6th percentile, close to its 7th-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Most of Donovan Estates's buildings (97.5% of 396) fall outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones entirely — that doesn't zero out the score above, it means the risk is regional, not structure-by-structure.
Where Donovan Estates ranks
Donovan Estates's risk sits at a similar level relative to Arizona (1st percentile statewide) as it does nationally (7th) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Donovan Estates ranks 29,175 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 19,291 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 439 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
Donovan Estates and the insurance market
Donovan Estates's low rating (7th percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
With 97.5% of buildings rated Minimal exposure, Donovan Estates gets less benefit from structure hardening than a Direct- or Indirect-dominant place would — the home-hardening guide explains why the zone matters.
More on how this number was built
Donovan Estates's 7th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Donovan Estates, see the exposure-zones guide.