Davis, CA
Davis wildfire risk explained
Davis sits at the 58th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 17,063 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Davis at the 58th percentile, close to its 58th-percentile risk score.
Where Davis's buildings actually sit
Davis rates 95.6% Minimal exposure against just 2.7% Direct and 1.7% Indirect — of 17,063 buildings counted, few sit close enough to burnable vegetation for USFS to flag them individually. At 17,063 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Where Davis ranks
Davis's 58th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 16th ranking inside California does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 42 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Davis ranks 13,259 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 847 by building count (1 is largest). Within California alone, it ranks 1,322 of 1,570 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for California on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Davis
Davis's 58th-percentile score lands in California, the only two states requiring a wildfire disclosure at sale. California's surplus-lines homeowners market passed 300,000 policies for the first time in 2025, driven by carriers pulling back from wildfire-exposed areas statewide. The disclosure-law guide covers what it requires.
What would actually reduce this score
Even with 95.6% of Davis outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones, basic hardening — gutter maintenance, ember-resistant vents — is inexpensive relative to the regional burn-probability risk noted above. Details in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Davis's 58th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Davis, see the exposure-zones guide.