Connellsville, PA
Connellsville, PA's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Connellsville sits at the 38th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 3,321 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Connellsville's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 38th percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS puts 95.7% of Connellsville's 3,321 buildings in the Indirect exposure zone, versus 4.3% Direct and 0% Minimal — a place where the fire doesn't need to reach the structure directly for embers to.
Connellsville against the rest of the country
Compare Connellsville's two percentiles: 58th within Pennsylvania, only 38th nationally — a gap of 20 points that marks it as unusually exposed for its own state. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Connellsville ranks 19,456 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 5,017 by building count (1 is largest). Within Pennsylvania alone, it ranks 830 of 1,991 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Pennsylvania on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
Connellsville's moderate wildfire rating (38th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
What would actually reduce this score
With ember exposure the dominant pattern in Connellsville (95.7% Indirect), vent screens and roofing material tend to matter more than lot clearing alone. The home-hardening guide covers both.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 3,321 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Connellsville. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Connellsville, see the exposure-zones guide.