Colonial Heights, VA
Colonial Heights, VA's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Colonial Heights at the 40th national percentile for risk to structures, close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — a score built from 7,962 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Colonial Heights's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 40th percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Colonial Heights rates 45.5% Minimal exposure against just 14.9% Direct and 39.6% Indirect — of 7,962 buildings counted, few sit close enough to burnable vegetation for USFS to flag them individually. At 7,962 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Where Colonial Heights ranks
There's little gap between Colonial Heights's 40th national percentile and its 32nd percentile inside Virginia, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Colonial Heights ranks 19,051 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 2,126 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 464 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
Colonial Heights and the insurance market
At the 40th national percentile, Colonial Heights rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
What would actually reduce this score
Even with 45.5% of Colonial Heights outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones, basic hardening — gutter maintenance, ember-resistant vents — is inexpensive relative to the regional burn-probability risk noted above. Details in the home-hardening guide.
Where Colonial Heights's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 7,962 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Colonial Heights. The exposure-zones guide covers what Colonial Heights's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.