Cibola, AZ
Cibola, AZ's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Cibola's 494 buildings earn a 68th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — well above the national norm for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Cibola's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 66th percentile nationally.
Cibola's building exposure, zone by zone
494 buildings are counted in Cibola, and 59.5% of them sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone — flame contact, not just ember cast, is the live possibility for most of them, against 0% rated Minimal.
Where Cibola ranks
Inside Arizona, Cibola sits at just the 31st percentile even though it scores 68th nationally — the state's overall wildfire exposure is high enough to make this a relatively quiet corner of it. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Cibola ranks 10,137 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 17,452 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 305 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
Cibola and the insurance market
Cibola's 68th-percentile, high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
What would actually reduce this score
Cibola's 59.5% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
Where Cibola's figures come from
Cibola's 68th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Cibola's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.